ANALISIS FORECASTING PENJUALAN KOMODITAS HORTIKULTURA MULTIMUSIM PEPAYA DI HORTIMART AGRO CENTER SEMARANG

Authors

  • Frisco Fiandria Saputra Universitas Bojonegoro
  • Yusuf Dawud Universitas Bojonegoro
  • Noor Djohar Universitas Bojonegoro

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.23960/jiia.v12i3.8877
Abstract View: 313

Abstract

Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan cara perhitungan peramalan menggunakan metode time series dengan 4 pendekatan, ditemukan bahwa peramalan penjualan pepaya di Hortimart Agro Center adalah 1268 kg dengan metode Moving Average, 1228,204 dengan metode Exponential Smoothing (α = 0.9), 1123,697 kg dengan metode Trend Analysis, dan 1092,102 kg dengan metode Multiplicative Decomposition dengan pola musiman kuartal (4 bulan). Berdasarkan perhitungan peramalan penjualan menggunakan keempat metode tersebut, nilai kesalahan akurasi peramalan terkecil ditemukan pada metode Trend Analysis, dengan nilai MAD sebesar 124,081, MSE sebesar 22.710,15, dan MAPE sebesar 24,7%. Dari hasil tersebut, disimpulkan bahwa metode Trend Analysis menjadi metode terbaik yang dapat digunakan oleh perusahaan Hortimart Agro Center untuk meramalkan penjualan pepaya karena memiliki nilai uji akurasi peramalan terkecil.

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Published

2024-09-20

How to Cite

Saputra, F. F., Dawud, Y., & Djohar, N. (2024). ANALISIS FORECASTING PENJUALAN KOMODITAS HORTIKULTURA MULTIMUSIM PEPAYA DI HORTIMART AGRO CENTER SEMARANG. Jurnal Ilmu Ilmu Agribisnis: Journal of Agribusiness Science, 12(3), 198–206. https://doi.org/10.23960/jiia.v12i3.8877

Issue

Vol. 12 No. 3 (2024)

Section

Articles

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